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Category Archives: policy

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Forecasting a Plague with Moving Averages

Biomass Rules Posted on September 23, 2024 by Mark JennerSeptember 23, 2024

Moving averages are the most basic tool, taught in undergraduate courses as an introduction to forecasting.  Prior to the pandemic, commodity futures charts were the go-to illustration of the benefits of moving averages for undergraduate students.  Moving averages smooth out the … Continue reading →

Posted in analytics, definition, policy, science | Tagged 7-day moving average, basic tool, Center for Disease Control (CDC), COVID, data uncertainty, false negative, false positive, forecasting, forecasting a plague with moving averages, moving averages, negative, new cases per day, pandemic, plague, poor quality data, positive, uniform protocol | Leave a reply

The Economics of Food – It is Just A Little More Complicated

Biomass Rules Posted on September 17, 2024 by Mark JennerSeptember 17, 2024

Hemp seeds command a premium price.  USDA, Agricultural Marketing Service (AMS) now reports weekly hemp product prices.  In the September 11, 2024 report, one pound of hemp seeds was reported at $12.64.  That is down from $14.39 per pound the … Continue reading →

Posted in analytics, economics, policy, science | Tagged absolute, almonds, benefits, cannabis sativa, complicated, costs, economic efficiency, economics of food, farm commodity, hemp seeds, index, peanuts, prices, relative, retail food product, sunflower seeds, the economics of food is just a little more complicated | Leave a reply

Impressions of a Fledgling Blogger – Day 257

Biomass Rules Posted on September 16, 2024 by Mark JennerSeptember 16, 2024

As an economist, I have been trained to see the world through a lens of critical thinking.  As a manure visionary, I have been trained to look beyond traditional monetary values to measure both benefits and costs.  If and when … Continue reading →

Posted in Biomass Rules, economics, policy, science | Tagged agribusiness, bioenergy, biomass, blog, Census of Agriculture, clarification, climate, Day 257, economics, fledgling blogger, food systems, hemp production, impressions, Impressions of a fledgling blogger on day 257, inflations, local markets, renewable natural gas RNG | Leave a reply

A Case of Pricing Wheat from Farm to Food

Biomass Rules Posted on September 10, 2024 by Mark JennerSeptember 10, 2024

Food pricing has many layers.  Earlier, it was established that Biomass Rules considers food to be retail consumption of human nutrients.  There are exceptions, but this working definition simplifies many parts.  It is easy to look at the farm gate … Continue reading →

Posted in analytics, economics, policy, science | Tagged absolute, bread, bushels, case of pricing wheat from farm to food, Consumer Price Index (CPI), Economic Research Service (ERS), farm to food, flour, food inflation, food-at-home, food-away-from-home, grams, index, loaves, ounces, pancakes, pounds, pricing wheat, relative, wheat | Leave a reply

Turn-of-the-Century Biofuel-Fossil Feedstock Dynamics

Biomass Rules Posted on September 7, 2024 by Mark JennerSeptember 7, 2024

The more things change, it seems the more they stay the same.  This Biomass Rules chart with data from 2006, appeared in Chapter 19: Williams, James L. and Mark Jenner. Petroleum Dependence, Biofuels – Economies Of Scope And Scale; US … Continue reading →

Posted in definition, economics, policy | Tagged $/MMBTU., biofuel-to-fossil feedstock dynamics, crude oil, energy values, FAME biodiesel, feed, food, fossil diesel, fuel, Jim Williams, number 2 yellow grease, renewable diesel, turn-of-the-century, turn-of-the-century biofuel-to-fossil feedstock dynamics, used vegetable oil | Leave a reply

The Seminal Role of Commodities in Food Value

Biomass Rules Posted on September 3, 2024 by Mark JennerSeptember 3, 2024

Paying $3 for a drive-thru coffee is a rational choice when the alternative is no coffee at all.  It is also reasonable to pay $4 for a box of corn cereal.  If one, 12-ounce box of cereal provides 8 bowls … Continue reading →

Posted in definition, economics, policy | Tagged affordable, cereal, commodities, corn grain, disposable income, distributor, Economic Research Service (ERS), food, food dollar, food value, inputs, processor, rational, retailer, seminal role, seminal role of commodities in food value, supply chain, USDA | Leave a reply

Making Sense of Retail Food Through Coffee

Biomass Rules Posted on August 26, 2024 by Mark JennerJanuary 3, 2025

Food is as old as dirt.  However, in 2024 the word ‘food’ is poorly understood.  Pandemics, supply-chain challenges, trade wars, real wars; have all contributed to growing concern about access to food.  Clarifying and aligning definitions of food will take … Continue reading →

Posted in definition, economics, policy | Tagged coffee markets, comfort food premium, Economic Research Service, ERS, farm bill solution, food products, food quality premium, food service, food wastes, food-at-home, food-away-from-home, groceries, imported food costs, making sense of retail food through coffee, price premium for service, restaurants, retail food, USDA | Leave a reply

A Tale of Two Biodiesel Feedstocks – Winners and Losers

Biomass Rules Posted on August 19, 2024 by Mark JennerAugust 19, 2024

Last week, USDA, Economic Research Service (ERS) posted this chart on used oil as feedstocks in biodiesel production.  This USDA chart indicated that we are pulling undervalued fats, oils, and greases into higher valued uses as transportation fuel.  This promotes … Continue reading →

Posted in economics, policy, wealth creation | Tagged a tale of two biodiesel feedstocks – winners and losers, air quality, biodiesel, capacity, difficult-to-monetize, domestic use, export markets, FAME, fats, federal policy, greases, oils, quality of life, renewable diesel, state policy, tale of two biodiesel feedstocks, water quality, winners and losers | Leave a reply

Plant Based Energy Values – The Science of Harvesting the Sun

Biomass Rules Posted on July 26, 2024 by Mark JennerJuly 26, 2024

The emerging bioeconomy is effectively starting at the system level and moving down to individual market activities.  A constant for millions of years is photosynthesis.  It captures solar energy – everyday for millions of years – and converts it to … Continue reading →

Posted in economics, policy, production, science | Tagged $/MMBTU., bioeconomy, bioenergy, carbohydrates, carbon, carbon dioxide, carbon intensity, energy values, harvesting, harvesting the sun, oxygen, photons, photosynthesis, plant based, plant based energy values – the science of harvesting the sun, science, solar energy, sun, water | Leave a reply

Two Data Points Do Not a Trendline Make

Biomass Rules Posted on July 22, 2024 by Mark JennerJuly 22, 2024

Economic information these days, influenced by election-year passions, spawned economic claims that do not represent actual underlying economic trends.  This post looks at the compelling nature of authentic data that does not have any meaningful forecasting value. Biomass Rules is … Continue reading →

Posted in analytics, economics, policy, science | Tagged $/MMBTU., authentic analyses, biofuel, commodities, demand, economy, feedstocks, fossil, fuels, inflation, not a trendline, perfect competition, retail prices, supply, two data points, two data points do not a trendline make | Leave a reply

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Recent Posts

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  • 2022 Census of Agriculture Farm Typology Volume 2 Has Arrived

Mark Jenner, PhD
Biomass Rules
Greenville, IL 62246
c. 618.223.9331
e. biomassrules@gmail.com

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Mission Statement:
Providing solutions through the strategic utilization of all kinds of biomass; the development of new markets for food, fiber, and fuels; and streamlining regulations.

bio·mass:
ˈbī-ō-ˌmas. noun. 1 : the unit area or volume of living matter, 2 : plant materials and animal waste used as renewable feedstocks into new processes.

rules:
'rül. 1: noun. 1 : regulations, bylaws or governing procedure, 2: verb. a : to exert control, direction, or influence on, b : to declare authoritatively.

Manure…
is not a four-letter word.

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