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Category Archives: analytics

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Tracking Pastureland Use Change in USDA, Natural Resource Inventory

Biomass Rules Posted on November 4, 2024 by Mark JennerNovember 4, 2024

Land use change has gotten complicated.  Tracking changes in climate have added more than simply physical changes in land use.  The first step in understanding the more sophisticated land use change implications is to understand what land is changing.  The … Continue reading →

Posted in analytics, definition, policy, science | Tagged 25 GWP, 300 GWP, ambient carbon, annual cropland, cattle methane emissions, domestic cattle emissions, global cattle emissions, land use change, Natural Resource Inventory (NRI), nitrous oxide, perennial pasture, sensitive soils, tracking pastureland use change, tracking pastureland use change in USDA Natural Resource Inventory, USDA | Leave a reply

Unpacking the Reported Negative Equity of Used Cars

Biomass Rules Posted on October 31, 2024 by Mark JennerOctober 31, 2024

The Wall Street Journal reported this week that used cars are losing value faster than they have been.  The term negative equity was discussed.  In the article, car owners were required to settle their loan prior to the full term, … Continue reading →

Posted in analytics, economics, science, wealth creation | Tagged 4-year, 48-month, 7-year, 84-month, cost of capital, depreciating value, equity, fixed payment, loan, reported negative equity, risk management, total interest paid, unpacking the reported negative equity of used cars, used cars, Wall Street Journal (WSJ) | Leave a reply

Setting Economic Model Context and Boundaries

Biomass Rules Posted on October 30, 2024 by Mark JennerOctober 30, 2024

The first 15 years after high school were spent chasing windmills, because in those early years of adulthood, all the answers were obvious. Go to college and become smart enough to change the world (age 18 to 22). Save the … Continue reading →

Posted in analytics, economics, science | Tagged 10 years out, applications, boundaries, context, crude oil price, data, demystify the jargon, economic model, faux solutions, forecasts, imitation of reality, long-term, methods, near-term, next year, setting economic model context and boundaries, time horizon | Leave a reply

Off-Farm Income as a Farm Household Business Risk Management Tool

Biomass Rules Posted on October 30, 2024 by Mark JennerOctober 30, 2024

Farm management focuses on business decision making for the business unit of the farm.  But access to external cash-flows from off-farm income takes some pressure off the total dependence on the success of the farm business unit. Farm Enterprise Analysis … Continue reading →

Posted in analytics, economics, science | Tagged 2022, 60 percent off-farm days, bottom 20 percent, Census of Agriculture, enterprise efficiency, farm enterprises, farm household business, farm income, farm number, farm size, off-farm, off-farm enterprises, off-farm income, off-farm income as a farm household business risk management tool, on-farm, risk management tool, top 20 percent, USDA, variability, whole business efficiency | Leave a reply

The More and Less of US Energy Consumption

Biomass Rules Posted on October 18, 2024 by Mark JennerOctober 18, 2024

Biomass Rules seeks out examples of increased efficiency and utilization.  This means businesses and economies produce more output from fewer inputs. We have focused our work in research and innovation the last four decades on either developing an innovation, or … Continue reading →

Posted in analytics, economics, science | Tagged 104 quad btu, 1990 levels, 1990=100, 84.5 quad btu, btu, chained, CO2 emissions per unit of GDP, Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration (EIA), fewer emissions, greenhouse gases (GHG), gross domestic product (GDP), incremental change, less energy consumption, metric ton, more output, output per unit input, real GDP, the more and less of US energy consumption, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) | Leave a reply

Magical Conversion of Text to Dates – What The Function

Biomass Rules Posted on October 14, 2024 by Mark JennerOctober 14, 2024

Biomass Rules Blog students who were working ahead on last week’s crude oil and corn price comparison likely hit an impasse when downloading the monthly corn price data from USDA.  The USDA, National Ag Statistics Service (NASS), Quick Stats monthly … Continue reading →

Posted in analytics, science, What the Function | Tagged coding, combining cell contents, CONCAT(), concatenation, Conversion, date formats, DATEVALUE(), magical conversion of text to dates what the function, MS Excel, National Ag Statistics Service (NASS), Quick Stats, text strings, text to dates, USDA, what the function | Leave a reply

Turning Straw into Gold, the ‘Rumpelstiltskin’ of Leftover Organics

Biomass Rules Posted on October 8, 2024 by Mark JennerOctober 8, 2024

Biomass Rules takes inventory of locally available, undervalued wastes, and finds higher valued markets through which move these once-upon-a-time liabilities back into the economy.  Sometimes straw may be a feedstock into feed, fertility or biofuel products.  Biomass Rules is the … Continue reading →

Posted in analytics, economics, science | Tagged 'Rumpelstiltskin', as is, benefit greater than costs, Biomass Management Zone (BMZ), bone-dry-ton, California, California Biomass Collaborative, leftover, moisture removed, organics, Paradise, rice, straw, straw into gold, turning straw into gold the 'Rumpelstiltskin' of leftover organics, UC-Davis, wheat | Leave a reply

Calculating Annualized Inflation with Rate of Growth – What the Function

Biomass Rules Posted on September 30, 2024 by Mark JennerSeptember 30, 2024

The last few years have been an inflationary roller coaster.  On September 26, nearly 50 years of US inflation was used to illustrate HOW NOT TO USE inflation (spurious correlation).  Part of understanding what charts of inflation actually mean, is … Continue reading →

Posted in analytics, economics, macro, science, What the Function | Tagged =SUM(), annualized rate, Bureau of Labor and Statistics (BLS), calculate monthly change, calculating annualized inflation with rate of growth, calculating inflation, Consumer Price Index (CPI), download data, earlier period, growth rate, rate of growth, recent period, sum 12 month rates, what the function | Leave a reply

Avoid Inflated and Spurious Correlations

Biomass Rules Posted on September 26, 2024 by Mark JennerSeptember 26, 2024

It is an election year, and the number of charts showing the economy-wide influences by a single factor are up.  A recent chart making a thin claim about the cause of inflation struck me as a similar rhythm to my … Continue reading →

Posted in analytics, economics, policy, science | Tagged association, avoid inflated and spurious correlations, causality, Consumer Price Index (CPI), CPI 1982-1984=100, creative thinking, critical thinking, easy data likely not representative, factors that influence inflation, pay attention, spurious correlations | Leave a reply

Forecasting a Plague with Moving Averages

Biomass Rules Posted on September 23, 2024 by Mark JennerSeptember 23, 2024

Moving averages are the most basic tool, taught in undergraduate courses as an introduction to forecasting.  Prior to the pandemic, commodity futures charts were the go-to illustration of the benefits of moving averages for undergraduate students.  Moving averages smooth out the … Continue reading →

Posted in analytics, definition, policy, science | Tagged 7-day moving average, basic tool, Center for Disease Control (CDC), COVID, data uncertainty, false negative, false positive, forecasting, forecasting a plague with moving averages, moving averages, negative, new cases per day, pandemic, plague, poor quality data, positive, uniform protocol | Leave a reply

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Mark Jenner, PhD
Biomass Rules
Greenville, IL 62246
c. 618.223.9331
e. biomassrules@gmail.com

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Mission Statement:
Providing solutions through the strategic utilization of all kinds of biomass; the development of new markets for food, fiber, and fuels; and streamlining regulations.

bio·mass:
ˈbī-ō-ˌmas. noun. 1 : the unit area or volume of living matter, 2 : plant materials and animal waste used as renewable feedstocks into new processes.

rules:
'rül. 1: noun. 1 : regulations, bylaws or governing procedure, 2: verb. a : to exert control, direction, or influence on, b : to declare authoritatively.

Manure…
is not a four-letter word.

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