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Tag Archives: pandemic

The Incorrect Use of a Mean to Mean a Midpoint is Just Mean

Biomass Rules Posted on December 17, 2024 by Mark JennerDecember 17, 2024

English is so difficult.  The word ‘mean’ here has three different meanings, one of which is to understand. The first occurrence of ‘mean’ infers an average. The second ‘mean’ occurrence implies or conveys understanding. The third ‘mean’ is a value … Continue reading →

Posted in analytics, definition, economics, policy, science | Tagged 98.6 degrees Fahrenheit, applied theory, arithmetic mean, average, central limit, changing data alters theory, critical thinking, inference, misleading, normal distribution, normal human body temperature, pandemic, the incorrect use of a mean to mean a midpoint is just mean, vigilance, Wall Street Journal (WSJ) | Leave a reply

Forecasting a Plague with Moving Averages

Biomass Rules Posted on September 23, 2024 by Mark JennerSeptember 23, 2024

Moving averages are the most basic tool, taught in undergraduate courses as an introduction to forecasting.  Prior to the pandemic, commodity futures charts were the go-to illustration of the benefits of moving averages for undergraduate students.  Moving averages smooth out the … Continue reading →

Posted in analytics, definition, policy, science | Tagged 7-day moving average, basic tool, Center for Disease Control (CDC), COVID, data uncertainty, false negative, false positive, forecasting, forecasting a plague with moving averages, moving averages, negative, new cases per day, pandemic, plague, poor quality data, positive, uniform protocol | Leave a reply

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Mark Jenner, PhD
Biomass Rules
Greenville, IL 62246
c. 618.223.9331
e. biomassrules@gmail.com

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Mission Statement:
Providing solutions through the strategic utilization of all kinds of biomass; the development of new markets for food, fiber, and fuels; and streamlining regulations.

bio·mass:
ˈbī-ō-ˌmas. noun. 1 : the unit area or volume of living matter, 2 : plant materials and animal waste used as renewable feedstocks into new processes.

rules:
'rül. 1: noun. 1 : regulations, bylaws or governing procedure, 2: verb. a : to exert control, direction, or influence on, b : to declare authoritatively.

Manure…
is not a four-letter word.

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