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Tag Archives: data uncertainty

Forecasting a Plague with Moving Averages

Biomass Rules Posted on September 23, 2024 by Mark JennerSeptember 23, 2024

Moving averages are the most basic tool, taught in undergraduate courses as an introduction to forecasting.  Prior to the pandemic, commodity futures charts were the go-to illustration of the benefits of moving averages for undergraduate students.  Moving averages smooth out the … Continue reading →

Posted in analytics, definition, policy, science | Tagged 7-day moving average, basic tool, Center for Disease Control (CDC), COVID, data uncertainty, false negative, false positive, forecasting, forecasting a plague with moving averages, moving averages, negative, new cases per day, pandemic, plague, poor quality data, positive, uniform protocol | Leave a reply

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Mark Jenner, PhD
Biomass Rules
Greenville, IL 62246
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Mission Statement:
Providing solutions through the strategic utilization of all kinds of biomass; the development of new markets for food, fiber, and fuels; and streamlining regulations.

bio·mass:
ˈbī-ō-ˌmas. noun. 1 : the unit area or volume of living matter, 2 : plant materials and animal waste used as renewable feedstocks into new processes.

rules:
'rül. 1: noun. 1 : regulations, bylaws or governing procedure, 2: verb. a : to exert control, direction, or influence on, b : to declare authoritatively.

Manure…
is not a four-letter word.

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